Jornal de Negocios PT

IMF – Nonfarm Payrolls: -92 mil empregos em fevereiro

Nonfarm Payrolls: -92 mil empregos em fevereiro; Economia do Reino Unido deverá crescer 1,1% em 2026; Petróleo renovou máximos de outubro de 2023; Ouro encerra semana com perdas

Mar 09, 2026 &03300909202631; 12:30 UTC www.jornaldenegocios.pt Trending 2/5

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Negative for markets

Sentiment score: -65/100

High impact Immediate effect (hours)

WHAT THIS MEANS

US nonfarm payrolls declined by 92,000 jobs in February, signaling labor market weakness that could prompt Fed rate cuts. UK economic growth forecast at 1.1% for 2026 remains modest, while oil renewed October 2023 highs and gold ended the week with losses amid mixed economic signals.

AI CONFIDENCE

75% High

SENTIMENT GAUGE

NEWS POWER SCORE

AFFECTED ASSETS

↓

S&P 500

^GSPCIndex

Expected to decline

Negative US employment data typically pressures equities due to recession concerns and potential economic slowdown

↑

Euro / US Dollar

EURUSDCurrency

Expected to rise

Weak US jobs data weakens dollar relative to euro, supporting EUR/USD upside

↑

Oil (WTI Crude)

CL=FCommodity

Expected to rise

Oil renewed October 2023 highs, indicating strong commodity demand despite labor market weakness

↓

Gold Futures

GC=FCommodity

Expected to decline

Gold ended the week with losses, suggesting risk-on sentiment despite employment concerns

↓

10-Year Treasury Yield

^TNXBond

Expected to decline

Weak payrolls data increases probability of Fed rate cuts, pressuring Treasury yields lower

↑

British Pound / US Dollar

GBPUSDCurrency

Expected to rise

UK growth forecast of 1.1% for 2026 is modest but supports relative GBP strength versus weakening USD

PRICE HISTORY

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⚡ SUGGESTED ACTION

Short equities on weak US employment data while buying USD weakness (EURUSD long). Consider long oil positions given renewed highs, but monitor gold weakness as potential warning signal for broader risk sentiment reversal.

KEY SIGNALS

US labor market deterioration signals economic slowdownFed rate cut expectations increase following weak payrollsOil strength contradicts recession narrativeGold weakness suggests limited safe-haven demandUK growth outlook remains subdued at 1.1%

SECTORS INVOLVED

FinancialsTechnologyConsumer DiscretionaryEnergy

Analysis generated on Mar 09, 2026 at 13:15 UTC

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by artificial intelligence for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation. Original reporting by Jornal de Negocios. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

IMF – Nonfarm Payrolls: -92 mil empregos em fevereiro

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