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Probe points at US for airstrike on Iranian school that killed 165

The investigative group Bellingcat says a newly released video “appears to contradict” U.S. President Donald Trump’s claim that Iran was behind an explosion at an Iranian school th...

Mar 09, 2026 &03440909202631; 11:44 UTC www.dailysabah.com Trending 3/5

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Negative for markets

Sentiment score: -65/100

High impact Immediate effect (hours)

WHAT THIS MEANS

Bellingcat investigation challenges U.S. claims regarding an airstrike on an Iranian school, potentially escalating geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran. This development could increase Middle East instability risk and impact energy markets and defense sector valuations.

AI CONFIDENCE

72% High

SENTIMENT GAUGE

NEWS POWER SCORE

AFFECTED ASSETS

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Oil (WTI Crude)

CL=FCommodity

Expected to rise

Geopolitical tensions between U.S. and Iran typically drive crude oil prices higher due to supply disruption concerns in the Middle East

⇅

Euro / US Dollar

EURUSDCurrency

High volatility expected

Risk-off sentiment from escalating U.S.-Iran tensions creates currency volatility; safe-haven flows may strengthen USD initially

↓

S&P 500

^GSPCIndex

Expected to decline

Geopolitical escalation typically triggers risk-off market sentiment affecting broad equity indices

↑

Gold Futures

GC=FCommodity

Expected to rise

Safe-haven demand increases during geopolitical crises, supporting gold prices

PRICE HISTORY

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⚡ SUGGESTED ACTION

Consider defensive positioning with increased exposure to energy commodities (CL=F, GC=F) and reduced equity risk. Monitor for further diplomatic developments that could trigger additional market volatility in the coming days.

KEY SIGNALS

Geopolitical escalation risk elevatedCredibility challenge to U.S. administration claimsPotential for international diplomatic falloutMiddle East instability premium likely to increaseEnergy supply chain concerns emerging

SECTORS INVOLVED

EnergyDefense & AerospaceUtilitiesConsumer Discretionary

Analysis generated on Mar 09, 2026 at 13:32 UTC

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by artificial intelligence for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation. Original reporting by Daily Sabah Economy. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Probe points at US for airstrike on Iranian school that killed 165

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