Valor Economico PT

Petróleo pode chegar a US$ 150 com fechamento persistente do Estreito de Ormuz, diz Macquarie

O fechamento do Estreito de Ormuz pode provocar fo...

Mar 09, 2026 &03310909202631; 17:31 UTC valor.globo.com Trending 2/5

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Negative for markets

Sentiment score: -75/100

High impact Short-term (days)

WHAT THIS MEANS

Macquarie warns that persistent closure of the Strait of Hormuz could drive oil prices to $150/barrel, a significant escalation from current levels. This geopolitical risk scenario would severely disrupt global energy supply, affecting crude markets and energy-dependent sectors worldwide.

AI CONFIDENCE

0% Low

SENTIMENT GAUGE

NEWS POWER SCORE

AFFECTED ASSETS

↑

Oil (WTI Crude)

CL=FCommodity

Expected to rise

Strait of Hormuz closure would restrict ~21% of global oil supply, driving crude prices sharply higher toward $150/barrel

↑

Gold Futures

GC=FCommodity

Expected to rise

Safe-haven demand during geopolitical crisis would support gold prices

⇅

Euro / US Dollar

EURUSDCurrency

High volatility expected

Energy crisis would pressure European economy and EUR, while USD strengthens as safe-haven currency

↓

Euro Stoxx 50

^STOXX50EIndex

Expected to decline

European equities vulnerable to energy shock and economic slowdown from higher oil costs

↓

S&P 500

^GSPCIndex

Expected to decline

US equities would face headwinds from inflation spike and potential recession risk

PRICE HISTORY

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⚡ SUGGESTED ACTION

Consider defensive positioning with energy hedges (long crude/gold) and reduce exposure to economically-sensitive sectors. Monitor Strait of Hormuz developments closely as trigger for tactical portfolio adjustments toward commodities and away from growth equities.

KEY SIGNALS

Geopolitical risk escalation in Middle EastSupply disruption of critical energy infrastructurePotential stagflation scenarioSafe-haven asset rotation expectedEnergy security concerns driving policy responses

SECTORS INVOLVED

EnergyTransportationUtilitiesChemicalsAirlinesShipping

Analysis generated on Mar 10, 2026 at 00:54 UTC

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by artificial intelligence for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation. Original reporting by Valor Economico. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Petróleo pode chegar a US$ 150 com fechamento persistente do Estreito de Ormuz, diz Macquarie

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