SCMP Business
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Casualty figures across the Middle East as Iran war enters second week
Since the US and Israel unleashed strikes on Iran on February 28, war has spread across the region and casualties have been reported in countries across the Middle East. Due to reporting restrictions, Agence France-Presse has not been able to independently verify all of the following tolls. The figures are based on numbers released by governments, militaries, health authorities and rescue organisations in the affected countries. Iran Iran’s health ministry said on Monday that more than 1,200...
Read original on www.scmp.com ↗Negative for markets
Sentiment score: -75/100
High impact
Immediate effect (hours)
WHAT THIS MEANS
Escalating Middle East conflict with Iran entering second week of warfare following US-Israel strikes on February 28, causing significant casualties across the region. Geopolitical tensions are driving risk-off sentiment in global markets, particularly affecting energy prices and equity valuations in conflict-sensitive sectors.
AI CONFIDENCE
85% Very high
SENTIMENT GAUGE
NEWS POWER SCORE
AFFECTED ASSETS
↑
Oil (WTI Crude)
CL=FCommodity
Expected to rise
Crude oil prices surge due to Middle East geopolitical risk premium and potential supply disruptions from Iran conflict
↑
Gold Futures
GC=FCommodity
Expected to rise
Gold rallies as safe-haven asset amid escalating regional conflict and uncertainty
↓
S&P 500
^GSPCIndex
Expected to decline
US equities pressured by risk-off sentiment, elevated energy costs, and geopolitical uncertainty
↓
Euro Stoxx 50
^STOXX50EIndex
Expected to decline
European indices decline due to proximity to conflict zone and energy price concerns
⇅
Euro / US Dollar
EURUSDCurrency
High volatility expected
Currency pair experiences volatility as safe-haven flows compete with energy cost impacts on eurozone
↓
10-Year Treasury Yield
^TNXBond
Expected to decline
Treasury yields decline as investors seek safe-haven bonds amid geopolitical crisis
PRICE HISTORY
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⚡ SUGGESTED ACTION
Reduce equity exposure and increase defensive positioning. Overweight energy and precious metals while underweighting cyclical sectors. Monitor crude oil levels above $85/barrel and consider long positions in gold and defensive utilities as conflict persists.
KEY SIGNALS
SECTORS INVOLVED
Analysis generated on Mar 10, 2026 at 05:18 UTC
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by artificial intelligence for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation. Original reporting by SCMP Business. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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