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“Trump arruma um pretexto para fazer o que quer”, diz ex-economista-chefe do FMI

Para Maurice Obstfeld, da Universidade da Califórnia em Berkeley, presidente adota essa estratégia dentro e fora do país. Ele acredita que as ofensivas na América Latina vão crescer The post “Trump arruma um pretexto para fazer o que quer”, diz ex-economista-chefe do FMI appeared first on InfoMoney.

Mar 10, 2026 &03111010202631; 10:11 UTC www.infomoney.com.br Trending 4/5

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Negative for markets

Sentiment score: -65/100

Moderate impact Medium-term (weeks)

WHAT THIS MEANS

Former IMF chief economist Maurice Obstfeld warns that Trump uses pretexts to pursue his agenda both domestically and internationally, with expectations of escalating offensives in Latin America. This commentary suggests potential policy unpredictability and geopolitical tensions that could impact emerging markets and trade relationships.

AI CONFIDENCE

72% High

SENTIMENT GAUGE

NEWS POWER SCORE

AFFECTED ASSETS

⇅

Euro / US Dollar

EURUSDCurrency

High volatility expected

Trade policy uncertainty and potential tariff escalation affecting currency valuations

⇅

S&P 500

^GSPCIndex

High volatility expected

U.S. equity market exposed to policy unpredictability and Latin American trade tensions

↓

EU→.PA

EU→.PAStock

Expected to decline

European equities vulnerable to trade disputes and emerging market contagion

⇅

Oil (WTI Crude)

CL=FCommodity

High volatility expected

Oil prices sensitive to geopolitical tensions in Latin America

PRICE HISTORY

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⚡ SUGGESTED ACTION

Consider reducing exposure to Latin American assets and trade-sensitive sectors. Increase hedging positions in volatile currency pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD) and monitor commodity prices for geopolitical risk premium.

KEY SIGNALS

Policy unpredictability and use of pretexts for economic actionsEscalating tensions with Latin America expectedPotential trade war escalationEmerging market vulnerability

SECTORS INVOLVED

FinancialsEnergyInternational TradeEmerging Markets

Analysis generated on Mar 11, 2026 at 03:24 UTC

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by artificial intelligence for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation. Original reporting by InfoMoney. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

“Trump arruma um pretexto para fazer o que quer”, diz ex-economista-chefe do FMI

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