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Mercado comprou fim rápido da guerra, mas pode ter sido otimista demais, alerta UBS

Reversão após fala de Trump não deve provocar corrida do investidor por ativos de risco, defende Mark Haefele, CIO do UBS Wealth Management: “Agora não é o momento de ser ousado” The post Mercado comprou fim rápido da guerra, mas pode ter sido otimista demais, alerta UBS appeared first on InfoMoney.

Mar 10, 2026 &03411010202631; 16:41 UTC www.infomoney.com.br Trending 3/5

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Negative for markets

Sentiment score: -35/100

Moderate impact Short-term (days)

WHAT THIS MEANS

UBS warns that markets may have been overly optimistic about a quick end to the war following Trump's comments, with CIO Mark Haefele cautioning against aggressive risk-taking. The recent reversal suggests investors should adopt a more cautious stance rather than rushing into risky assets.

AI CONFIDENCE

75% High

SENTIMENT GAUGE

NEWS POWER SCORE

AFFECTED ASSETS

↓

Euro Stoxx 50

^STOXX50EIndex

Expected to decline

European equities likely to face headwinds as risk sentiment cools following UBS warning about excessive optimism

⇅

S&P 500

^GSPCIndex

High volatility expected

US equities may experience volatility as Trump-related geopolitical optimism unwinds

↓

Euro / US Dollar

EURUSDCurrency

Expected to decline

Risk-off sentiment typically weakens EUR as investors reduce exposure to growth-sensitive assets

↑

Gold Futures

GC=FCommodity

Expected to rise

Safe-haven demand likely to increase as market participants reduce risk exposure

↓

Oil (WTI Crude)

CL=FCommodity

Expected to decline

Oil prices may decline due to reduced risk appetite and geopolitical uncertainty persisting

PRICE HISTORY

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⚡ SUGGESTED ACTION

Reduce exposure to cyclical and risk assets; rotate toward defensive sectors and safe-haven instruments like gold and bonds. Consider taking profits on recent war-resolution-driven rallies and maintain elevated cash positions until geopolitical clarity improves.

KEY SIGNALS

Market reversal after Trump comments indicates excessive prior optimismUBS CIO explicitly advises against aggressive positioningGeopolitical risks remain unresolved despite initial market enthusiasmRisk-off sentiment likely to dominate near-term trading

SECTORS INVOLVED

TechnologyFinancialsConsumer DiscretionaryEnergy

Analysis generated on Mar 11, 2026 at 01:21 UTC

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by artificial intelligence for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation. Original reporting by InfoMoney. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Mercado comprou fim rápido da guerra, mas pode ter sido otimista demais, alerta UBS

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