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Juros futuros caem e mercado aposta em corte da Selic após fala de Trump sobre guerra

Queda do petróleo para US$ 84 e alívio no dólar fazem investidores precificarem 76% de chance de redução de 0,50 ponto percentual nos juros na próxima semana The post Juros futuros caem e mercado aposta em corte da Selic após fala de Trump sobre guerra appeared first on InfoMoney.

Mar 10, 2026 &03481010202631; 20:48 UTC www.infomoney.com.br Trending 4/5

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Positive for markets

Sentiment score: +65/100

High impact Immediate effect (hours)

WHAT THIS MEANS

Brazilian futures interest rates declined significantly as markets price in a 76% probability of a 50 basis point Selic rate cut following Trump's comments on geopolitical tensions. Lower oil prices (US$84) and USD weakness are supporting expectations for monetary easing.

AI CONFIDENCE

78% High

SENTIMENT GAUGE

NEWS POWER SCORE

AFFECTED ASSETS

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FTSE MIB (Italy)

FTSEMIB.MIIndex

Expected to rise

Lower interest rate expectations support equity valuations and reduce borrowing costs

↑

Euro / US Dollar

EURUSDCurrency

Expected to rise

USD weakness from geopolitical risk-off sentiment and lower US rate expectations

↓

Oil (WTI Crude)

CL=FCommodity

Expected to decline

Oil prices declining to US$84 reflecting demand concerns from geopolitical tensions

↓

10-Year Treasury Yield

^TNXBond

Expected to decline

Global bond yields pressured by risk-off sentiment and expectations of monetary easing

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Bitcoin

BTC-USDCrypto

Expected to rise

Lower interest rate expectations and USD weakness typically support cryptocurrency valuations

PRICE HISTORY

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⚡ SUGGESTED ACTION

Long equity positions and risk assets appear favored given rate cut expectations and USD weakness. Monitor oil prices and geopolitical developments closely as they are key drivers; consider hedging USD exposure or taking long EURUSD positions on this weakness.

KEY SIGNALS

76% probability of 50bps Selic cut priced inOil decline to US$84 signals demand weaknessUSD weakness from geopolitical risk-offTrump geopolitical commentary driving market repricingMonetary easing cycle expectations strengthening

SECTORS INVOLVED

Financial ServicesConsumer DiscretionaryTechnologyEnergy

Analysis generated on Mar 11, 2026 at 00:26 UTC

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by artificial intelligence for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation. Original reporting by InfoMoney. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Juros futuros caem e mercado aposta em corte da Selic após fala de Trump sobre guerra

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