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Iran, Israel, US trade threats as soaring war rattles global markets

The war between Iran, Israel and the United States is entering a volatile new phase, with leaders on all sides striking defiant tones as the conflict nears its two-week mark and th...

Mar 13, 2026 &03181313202631; 05:18 UTC www.dailysabah.com Trending 5/5

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Negative for markets

Sentiment score: -75/100

High impact Immediate effect (hours)

WHAT THIS MEANS

Escalating geopolitical tensions between Iran, Israel, and the US are creating significant market volatility as the conflict intensifies. This regional instability threatens global oil supplies, currency stability, and equity markets, particularly affecting energy and defense sectors.

AI CONFIDENCE

85% Very high

SENTIMENT GAUGE

NEWS POWER SCORE

AFFECTED ASSETS

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Oil (WTI Crude)

CL=FCommodity

Expected to rise

Middle East conflict threatens oil supply disruptions; crude prices typically surge on geopolitical tensions in the region

↓

S&P 500

^GSPCIndex

Expected to decline

US equity markets face headwinds from war escalation, increased defense spending uncertainty, and potential economic disruption

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Euro Stoxx 50

^STOXX50EIndex

Expected to decline

European markets vulnerable to energy price shocks and broader geopolitical risk premium affecting growth outlook

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Euro / US Dollar

EURUSDCurrency

High volatility expected

Safe-haven flows and energy cost concerns create currency volatility; USD typically strengthens during geopolitical crises

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Gold Futures

GC=FCommodity

Expected to rise

Gold benefits from safe-haven demand during escalating military conflicts and geopolitical uncertainty

↓

10-Year Treasury Yield

^TNXBond

Expected to decline

Bond yields may decline as investors seek safety; flight-to-quality supports government bonds

PRICE HISTORY

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⚡ SUGGESTED ACTION

Reduce equity exposure and increase defensive positioning; consider long positions in crude oil (CL=F), gold (GC=F), and defensive sectors. Monitor for any diplomatic breakthroughs that could rapidly reverse bearish sentiment. Hedge currency exposure given EURUSD volatility.

KEY SIGNALS

Escalating military rhetoric from all three partiesTwo-week conflict duration suggests sustained tension aheadOil supply chain vulnerability in critical global regionPotential for rapid expansion of conflict scopeSafe-haven asset demand increasing

SECTORS INVOLVED

EnergyDefense & AerospaceUtilitiesConsumer DiscretionaryFinancials

Analysis generated on Mar 16, 2026 at 15:36 UTC

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by artificial intelligence for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation. Original reporting by Daily Sabah Economy. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Iran, Israel, US trade threats as soaring war rattles global markets

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