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Baht may fall to 35 per dollar if war persists

The baht is expected to weaken to 34-35 to the US dollar if the Middle East conflict drags on for two months, pushing oil prices above US$100 per barrel, according to Kasikorn Research Center (K-Research).

Mar 19, 2026 &03191919202631; 22:19 UTC www.bangkokpost.com Trending 4/5

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Negative for markets

Sentiment score: -45/100

Low impact Short-term (days)

WHAT THIS MEANS

Rule-based L2: BEARISH signal from Bangkok Post Business

AI CONFIDENCE

60% High

SENTIMENT GAUGE

NEWS POWER SCORE

AFFECTED ASSETS

↓

Oil (WTI Crude)

CL=FCommodity

Expected to decline

Baht may fall to 35 per dollar if war persists

PRICE HISTORY

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⚡ SUGGESTED ACTION

Automated signal: BEARISH on primary asset

Analysis generated on Mar 21, 2026 at 15:37 UTC

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by artificial intelligence for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation. Original reporting by Bangkok Post Business. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Baht may fall to 35 per dollar if war persists

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