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Usa, in calo il Chicago Fed National Activity Index

L’attività economica degli Stati Uniti ha subito un rallentamento a febbraio, come indicato dal Chicago Fed National Activity Index. L’indice è sceso da +0,20 di gennaio a -0,11, riflettendo un calo nella crescita economica rispetto alla media storica. L’indice a tre mesi ha registrato un lieve miglioramento, passando da -0,02 a -0,01. Valori superiori a -0,35 sono storicamente associati a periodi di espansione economica.

Mar 23, 2026 &03052323202631; 13:05 UTC www.wallstreetitalia.com

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Negative for markets

Sentiment score: -35/100

Moderate impact Short-term (days)

WHAT THIS MEANS

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index declined to -0.11 in February from +0.20 in January, signaling a slowdown in U.S. economic activity below historical average. While the 3-month index improved slightly to -0.01, the monthly deterioration suggests weakening momentum heading into Q1 2024.

AI CONFIDENCE

72% High

SENTIMENT GAUGE

NEWS POWER SCORE

AFFECTED ASSETS

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S&P 500

^GSPCIndex

Expected to decline

Economic slowdown signals reduce growth expectations; risk-off sentiment may pressure equities

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Euro Stoxx 50

^STOXX50EIndex

Expected to decline

U.S. economic weakness typically correlates with European equity pressure via trade and sentiment spillover

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Euro / US Dollar

EURUSDCurrency

Expected to rise

Weaker U.S. growth may reduce Fed rate expectations, weakening the dollar relative to euro

↓

10-Year Treasury Yield

^TNXBond

Expected to decline

Economic slowdown typically triggers flight-to-safety and lower long-term rate expectations

↓

Oil (WTI Crude)

CL=FCommodity

Expected to decline

Slower U.S. economic activity reduces energy demand outlook

PRICE HISTORY

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⚡ SUGGESTED ACTION

Consider reducing equity exposure or hedging with long bonds/puts. The sharp monthly decline warrants caution despite the 3-month index stabilizing—this suggests the slowdown is accelerating. Monitor Fed communications for potential rate-cut signals.

KEY SIGNALS

Monthly index deterioration (-0.31 point drop) signals momentum lossIndex remains below +0.35 threshold historically associated with expansion3-month smoothed index still negative, indicating sustained weaknessDivergence between monthly and 3-month trends suggests recent acceleration of slowdown

SECTORS INVOLVED

FinancialsIndustrialsConsumer DiscretionaryEnergy

Analysis generated on Mar 23, 2026 at 22:59 UTC

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by artificial intelligence for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation. Original reporting by Wall Street Italia. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Usa, in calo il Chicago Fed National Activity Index

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