Jornal de Negocios PT

Atividade empresarial dos EUA em mínimos de 11 meses com impacto da guerra no Irão

O setor dos serviços foi o mais afetado, aponta o índice de gestores de compras (PMI) da S&P Global, “com as empresas a reportarem uma subida acentuada dos preços no seguimento do início da guerra no Médio Oriente”.

Mar 24, 2026 &03202424202631; 16:20 UTC www.jornaldenegocios.pt Trending 2/5

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Negative for markets

Sentiment score: -65/100

High impact Short-term (days)

WHAT THIS MEANS

US business activity hit 11-month lows with services sector severely impacted by Middle East tensions. PMI data shows sharp price increases following Iran conflict escalation, signaling stagflation risk and market uncertainty.

AI CONFIDENCE

72% High

SENTIMENT GAUGE

NEWS POWER SCORE

AFFECTED ASSETS

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S&P 500

^GSPCIndex

Expected to decline

Fresh PMI weakness at 11-month lows + geopolitical risk premium; services contraction + inflation signals stagflation concern. VIX already rising (+0.84%) but S&P only +0.04% suggests delayed reaction.

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Oil (WTI Crude)

CL=FCommodity

Expected to rise

Iran conflict directly supports crude oil; geopolitical premium not yet fully priced given fresh news timing.

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10-Year Treasury Yield

^TNXBond

Expected to decline

Flight-to-safety bid on recession fears from weak PMI; risk-off environment supports Treasury demand.

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Euro / US Dollar

EURUSDCurrency

Expected to decline

USD strength on safe-haven flows; US economic weakness may trigger Fed pause expectations but geopolitical risk favors dollar.

PRICE HISTORY

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⚡ SUGGESTED ACTION

Sell S&P 500 on weakness; buy crude oil and long-duration Treasuries. Stagflation setup (weak growth + rising prices) is the real risk. Monitor for further geopolitical escalation or PMI confirmation next week. [MOVE:-1.2%]

KEY SIGNALS

PMI at 11-month lows — contraction signalSharp price increases reported — inflation persistence despite weaknessServices sector hit hardest — consumer-facing weaknessVIX rising (+0.84%) — fear premium buildingS&P flat despite bad news — complacency or delayed reaction

SECTORS INVOLVED

ServicesEnergyFinancialsUtilities

Analysis generated on Mar 24, 2026 at 16:32 UTC

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by artificial intelligence for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation. Original reporting by Jornal de Negocios. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Atividade empresarial dos EUA em mínimos de 11 meses com impacto da guerra no Irão

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