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Here’s where traders expect crude-oil prices to open after this weekend’s attack on Iran

Crude-oil markets won’t officially open for a few more hours, but traders are already using prediction markets like Kalshi to take bets on where prices will settle on Monday.

Mar 01, 2026 &03170101202631; 19:17 UTC feeds.marketwatch.com Trending 4/5

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Positive for markets

Sentiment score: +75/100

High impact Immediate effect (hours)

WHAT THIS MEANS

The attack on Iran is likely to push crude-oil prices higher at Monday's opening due to heightened geopolitical risks and supply disruption fears. Traders are actively betting on price increases via prediction markets, indicating bullish sentiment. This could lead to volatility in energy markets and affect related sectors.

AI CONFIDENCE

80% Very high

SENTIMENT GAUGE

NEWS POWER SCORE

AFFECTED ASSETS

↑

Oil (WTI Crude)

CL=FCommodity

Expected to rise

Geopolitical tensions in Iran could threaten oil supply, driving prices up as traders anticipate disruptions.

PRICE HISTORY

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⚡ SUGGESTED ACTION

Monitor crude oil futures (CL=F) for potential long opportunities at market open, but use stop-loss orders to manage risk amid expected volatility.

KEY SIGNALS

Increased activity in prediction markets like Kalshi pointing to higher oil pricesGeopolitical event in a major oil-producing region

SECTORS INVOLVED

EnergyOil & Gas

Analysis generated on Mar 01, 2026 at 19:29 UTC

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by artificial intelligence for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation. Original reporting by MarketWatch. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Here’s where traders expect crude-oil prices to open after this weekend’s attack on Iran

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